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Zombie Foreclosures Shrinking – The MortgagePoint

June 13, 2024 by Staff Reporter

Releasing its 2024 second-quarter Vacant Property and Zombie Foreclosure Report, ATTOM Data has revealed that that 1.3 million (or 1,289,387 to be exact) residential properties in the country sit vacant. This figure, while significant, represents 1.3% of properties—or to put it another way, one in 79 homes; this number has essentially remained the same from the first quarter of 2024. 

The report analyzes publicly recorded real estate data collected by ATTOM—including foreclosure status, equity and owner-occupancy status—matched against monthly updated vacancy data. 

In terms of foreclosures, the report stated that 237,208 residential dwellings throughout the country are in the process of active foreclosure during the second quarter, down 2.3% from the first quarter of the year and down 23.9% year-over-year. 

Foreclosure activity has declined this year following a surge in cases that hit after a nationwide moratorium on lenders pursuing delinquent homeowners, imposed during the Coronavirus pandemic, was lifted in the middle of 2021. 

Among those pre-foreclosure properties are about 6,945 sitting vacant as zombie foreclosures (pre-foreclosure properties abandoned by owners) in the second quarter of 2024. That figure is also down from the prior quarter, by 5.4%, and down 20.6% from a year ago. 

Zombie homes themselves only account for a fraction of the total housing stock—the current report from ATTOM puts the number at one in 14,724 homes, a ratio that is down form one in 13,905 during the first quarter and one in 11,577 year-over-year. Zombie foreclosures numbers remain so small that most neighborhoods around the country face little or no threat of the blight and decay those homes can spread. 

The portion of pre-foreclosure properties that have been abandoned into zombie status, meanwhile, also went down slightly, from 3% in the first quarter of 2024 to 2.9% in the current quarter. 

“Predictions of a huge spike in foreclosures after the moratorium, with the potential for a surge in zombie properties, never came true. Indeed, the opposite has happened, as abandoned homes in foreclosure continue to get harder and harder to find around the country,” said Rob Barber, ATTOM’s CEO. “Some signs have popped up over the past year that the long U.S. housing market boom is giving back some of its gains, which could lead to declining equity and more foreclosures. We are still far from losing the benefit of having zombie properties nearly disappear from the housing market landscape.” 

The dip in the number of zombie properties during the second quarter comes as the housing market remains buoyed by 12 years of price increases despite the recent markers of a slowdown. 

The nationwide median home value dropped quarterly in the early months of 2024 by 4 percent, to $330,000, but was still up 3 percent from a year earlier, according to ATTOM’s home sales analysis. It has increased every year since 2012, more than doubling during that time. Those gains have fueled a historic rise in homeowner wealth to the point where almost 95 percent of owners paying off mortgages have at least some equity built up and nearly 50 percent owe less than half the estimated value of their properties. 

Zombie foreclosures drop in more than half the country, remaining a non-issue in most neighborhoods 

A total of 6,945 residential properties facing possible foreclosure have been vacated by their owners nationwide in the second quarter of 2024, down from 7,338 in the first quarter of 2024 and 8,752 in the second quarter of 2023. The number of zombie properties has decreased quarterly in 30 states and annually in 38. 

As those numbers keep dwindling, the biggest decreases from the first quarter to the second quarter of 2024 in states with at least 50 zombie homes are in Ohio (zombie properties down 22%, from 597 to 466), Maryland (down 17%, from 104 to 86), South Carolina (down 14%, from 74 to 64), California (down 13%, from 310 to 269), and North Carolina (down 12%, from 67 to 59). 

The only quarterly increases among states with at least 50 zombie foreclosures are in Massachusetts (zombie properties up 12%, from 68 to 76) and Illinois (up 1%, from 719 to 724). 

Click here for the report in its entirety. 

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: dsnews, MORTGAGES, NEWS & TRENDS

Legislation Introduced to Narrow the Homeownership Gap

January 9, 2024 by Editor

 

U.S. Sens. Mark R. Warner of Virginia, Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, Rev. Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Jon Ossoff of Georgia, Tim Kaine of Virginia, and U.S. Rep. Emanuel Cleaver of Missouri have introduced bicameral legislation to help first-time, first-generation homebuyers build wealth much more rapidly with the Low-Income First-Time Homebuyers (LIFT) Act.

By offering new homeowners a 20-year mortgage for roughly the same monthly payment as a traditional 30-year loan, LIFT will allow individuals traditionally underrepresented in the housing market to grow equity twice as fast.

“Homeownership is one of the key ways Americans build capital and wealth. Unfortunately, racism and systemic discrimination in our housing laws have put this opportunity out of reach for far too many families of color,” said Sen. Warner. “The LIFT Act will help narrow the racial wealth gap by allowing qualified home buyers to build equity–and wealth–at twice the rate of a conventional 30-year mortgage.”

First introduced in 2021, LIFT would establish a program at the U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development (HUD), in consultation with the U.S. Department of the Treasury, to sponsor low fixed-rate 20-year mortgages for first-time, first-generation homebuyers who have incomes equal to or less than 120% of their area median income (AMI). Working through Ginnie Mae, the Treasury would subsidize the interest rate and origination fees associated with these 20-year mortgages so that the monthly payment would be in line with a 30-year Federal Housing Administration (FHA)-insured mortgage.

“Homeownership is a key tool for Americans to grow their wealth and build economic stability, but for far too many people, this goal remains out of reach,” said Sen. Van Hollen. “This is especially true for people of color–which is why we need to address the legacy of discrimination in our housing policy. This bill will help level the playing field for first-time, first-generation buyers and empower them to build more wealth.”

By allowing borrowers to build equity through their homes at twice the rate of a comparable 30-year loan without meaningfully increasing the monthly payment, LIFT will improve the power of homeownership for millions of families. Coupled with downpayment assistance, LIFT will make meaningful progress in narrowing the racial wealth gap, expanding, and greatly strengthening the wealth-building benefits of homeownership in communities too long left behind by existing financial structures.

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, added, “Homeownership is the best way to build wealth, especially for lower- and moderate-income households and families of color, and LIFT supercharges that wealth-building. By helping homeowners get a 20-year mortgage with a lower monthly payment consistent with a 30-year mortgage, LIFT preserves affordability and supports homeownership, but also allows homeowners to rapidly accumulate equity in their homes. LIFT is among the most effective ways policymakers have to address the nation’s pernicious problem of large and widening economic disparities.”

David M. Dworkin, former Treasury Department official in the Obama and Trump Administrations and President/CEO of the National Housing Conference (NHC), added, “By subsidizing the interest rate on 20-year fixed rate mortgages, first-generation homebuyers will be able to build equity at twice the rate of a 30-year mortgage. Many multi-generational homebuyers with equity in their current home use this option on their own, but it’s impossible for low- and moderate-income first-generation home buyers to take advantage of it. The LIFT bill evens that playing field and will not only help close the wealth gap, but it will strengthen the economy for all Americans.”

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: dsnews, MORTGAGES, NEWS & TRENDS

HUD Awards Over $54M to Combat Housing Discrimination

March 28, 2023 by Editor

 

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) today awarded $54 million to 182 fair housing organizations across the country under its Fair Housing Initiatives Program (FHIP). The grants will provide $28,200,000 to support the efforts national, state, and local fair housing entities working to address violations of the Fair Housing Act and helping to end discrimination in housing. In addition, HUD provided $26,350,000 in funding to its second and third year Private Enforcement Initiative grantees to continue fair housing enforcement efforts nationwide.

“Far too many families in our country still face unconscionable prejudice, both as renters and homeowners,” said HUD Secretary Marcia L. Fudge. “The Fair Housing Initiatives Program puts money into communities to help them root out discrimination in housing. I am pleased to provide our state and local partners with the resources they need to combat inequity and build a fairer, more inclusive country for all.”

The awarding of these funds proceeds the 1-year anniversary of the Biden-Harris Administration’s Interagency Task Force on Property Appraisal and Valuation Equity (PAVE) Action Plan – led by U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Marcia L. Fudge and White House Domestic Policy Advisor Ambassador Susan Rice. The PAVE Action plan represents the most wide-ranging set of commitments ever announced to advance equity in the home appraisal process. Eligible activities for the funding awarded today included testing for appraisal bias and educating local communities on the issue.

The grant funding will allow the grantees to provide fair housing enforcement by conducting investigations, testing to identify discrimination in the rental and sales markets, and filing fair housing complaints with HUD or substantially equivalent state and local agencies. In addition, grantees will conduct education and outreach activities to inform the public, housing providers, and local governments about rights and responsibilities that exist under the Fair Housing Act.

“The programs and services provided by the Fair Housing Initiatives Program are vital to eliminating housing discrimination that too many in this country endure,” said Demetria L. McCain, HUD’s Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity. “As we prepare to recognize the fifty-fifth anniversary of the Fair Housing Act next month, we know we have more work to do in the fight against housing discrimination. But, efforts of our fair housing partners through the years have made a significant contribution helping thousands of people and families. The funds provided today will ensure that our state and local partners have the financial resources they need to continue educating the public and opposing discriminatory practices in the communities they serve.”

HUD is awarding grants in the following categories and amounts:

Private Enforcement Initiative (PEI) – This initiative funds non-profit fair housing organizations to carry out testing and enforcement activities to prevent or eliminate discriminatory housing practices.

  • HUD is awarding $14,575,000 to new organizations to conduct intake, provide testing, and investigate and litigate fair housing complaints under the Fair Housing Act.
  • HUD is awarding $26,350,000 to second- and third-year FY 2020 and FY 2021 PEI Multi-year grantees. This multi-year award will allow grantees to continue fair housing investigations, testing and other fair housing enforcement activities.

Education and Outreach Initiative (EOI) – This program offers support for fair housing activities that educate the public and housing providers about equal opportunity in housing and compliance with the fair housing laws.

  • HUD is awarding $9,425,000 to organizations that educate the public and housing providers about the Fair Housing Act. These grants will also support state and local organizations that enhance fair housing laws that are substantially equivalent to the Fair Housing Act.

Education and Outreach Initiative Test Coordinator Training (EOI-TCT) – The Fair Housing Initiatives Program is a significant source of funding for FHIP grantees that conduct fair housing testing in local communities across the country. Fair housing testing refers to the use of testers who, like “secret shoppers”, pose as prospective renters or buyers of real estate for the purpose of determining whether housing providers and others are complying with the federal Fair Housing Act.

  • HUD is awarding $500,000 to one organization to support fair housing training courses specifically in fair housing testing.

Fair Housing Organizations Initiative (FHOI) – This program provides funding that builds the capacity and effectiveness of non-profit fair housing organizations by providing funds to handle fair housing enforcement and education initiatives more effectively. FHOI also strengthens the fair housing movement nationally by encouraging the creation and growth of organizations that focus on the rights and needs of underserved groups, particularly persons with disabilities.

  • HUD is awarding $3,700,000 to equip nonprofit organizations to conduct fair housing enforcement related activities. The award will also establish and support a new organization to engage in fair housing enforcement work, particularly in unserved and underserved jurisdictions.

To read the full release, click here.

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Report: Housing Market Cooldown to Last Through Fall

October 11, 2022 by Editor

HouseCanary, Inc. has released its latest monthly Market Pulse report, covering 22 listing-derived metrics and comparing data between August 2021 and August 2022, which found that the housing market cooldown that appeared earlier this year continued into the traditional end of summer, and predicts further cooling through the fall. 

“The nationwide supply shortage accelerated by the Fed’s rate hikes and economic concerns persisted through the end of the summer despite a slight increase in inventory back in June,” said Jeremy Sicklick, HouseCanary’s Co-Founder and CEO. “Decelerating price growth, decreasing sale-to-list ratio, and an increase in median days on market are all indicators of a potential market normalization as both buyer and seller activity continue to cooldown. More and more would-be buyers are holding off on making offers as raised rates amplify perceptions of unaffordability.” 

According to the report, there were 260,489 new listings placed on the market which represents a 29.2% decrease compared to the same period last year.  

Over the last year, there have been 2.23 million new listings placed on the market representing a 6.4% year-over-year decrease.  

“In response to the decreased demand, sellers are cutting listing prices or dropping out of the market completely, suggesting we may see the market shift in buyers’ favor as we head into the fall,” said Sicklick. 

Top-level data from the report includes:  

  • Since August 2021, there have been 3,226,813 net new listings placed on the market, which is a 6.4% decrease compared to the 52 weeks prior. 
  • The volume of price drops increased 95.5% compared to the same period last year. 
  • Monthly nationwide supply continues to trend downward on the heels of elevated interest rates and market seasonality. 
  • Net new listing volume and contract volume are down across every price bin on a year-over-year basis. 

Percentage of total net new listings over the last 52 weeks, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: 14.6% 
  • $200k-$400k: 37.6% 
  • $400k-$600k: 23.9% 
  • $600k-$1mm: 15.9% 
  • >$1mm: 8.0% 

Percent change in net new listing activity over the last 52 weeks versus the same period in 2021, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: -25.4% 
  • $200k-$400k: -15.3% 
  • $400k-$600k: +9.5% 
  • $600k-$1mm: +14.5% 
  • >$1mm: +12.2% 

 

Monthly Net New Listing Volume (Single-Family Detached Homes): 

  • Monthly new listing volume was down 18.7% compared to August 2021 
  • In August, there were 260,489 net new listings placed on the market, representing a 29.2% decrease year-over-year. 

For the month of August, the percent change in net new listing volume compared to August 2021, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: -35.4% 
  • $200k-$400k: -31.9% 
  • $400k-$600k: -23.6% 
  • $600k-$1mm: -22.8% 
  • >$1mm: -25.9% 

 

Listings Under Contract: 

  • Over the last 52 weeks, 3,256,348 properties have gone into contract, representing a 9.8% decrease relative to the same period in 2021. 

Percentage of total contract volume since August 2021, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: 15.7% 
  • $200k-$400k: 38.4% 
  • $400k-$600k: 23.2% 
  • $600k-$1mm: 15.2% 
  • >$1mm: 7.5% 

Percent change in contract volume over the last 52 weeks versus the same period in 2021, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: -22.9% 
  • $200k-$400k: -17.4% 
  • $400k-$600k: +3.6% 
  • $600k-$1mm: +7.3% 
  • >$1mm: +0.9% 

 

Monthly Contract Volume (Single-Family Detached Homes): 

  • For the month of August, there were 315,977 listings that went under contract nationwide, which is a 14.5% decrease year-over-year. 

For the month of August, the percent change in contract volume compared to August 2021, broken down by home price: 

  • $0-$200k: -18.3% 
  • $200k-$400k: -18.7% 
  • $400k-$600k: -8.2% 
  • $600k-$1mm: -6.6% 
  • >$1mm: -15.0% 

 

Median Listing Price Activity (Single-Family Detached Homes): 

  •  For the week ending September 2, 2022, the median price of all single-family listings in the U.S. was $433,473, a 13.1% increase year-over-year. 
  • For the week ending September 2, 2022, the median closed price of single-family listings in the U.S. was $405,952, a 7.4% increase year-over-year. 
  • The median price of all single-family listings in the U.S. is down by 1.8% month-over-month and the median price of closed listings has increased by 0.2% month-over-month. 

To see the report in its entirety, including state-level breakdowns of data, click here. 

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Providing Opportunities for Homeownership

October 11, 2022 by Editor

A booming housing market, stronger underwriting standards, and more effective foreclosure prevention practices have reduced home foreclosure volume in recent years, but when they do happen, Fannie Mae’s work is far from over.

In fact, to help save precious affordable housing stock, Fannie Mae is doubling down on its innovative efforts to repair and preserve foreclosed single-family homes and put them back in the hands of owner-occupants, and in many cases, into the hands of first-time homebuyers.

To ensure that a property attracts owner-occupant buyers, we renovate a home by making a wide range of repairs. Cosmetic repairs involve more visual items like fresh paint, new flooring, and upgraded appliances. Some homes need more extensive repairs, such as plumbing, electrical, heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), or other mechanical system updates.

When required, we address environmental or health issues, such as lead-based paint, discoloration, and water supply upgrades.

We also believe lower energy costs and quality repairs will help reduce borrower expenses associated with owning a home and support sustainable homeownership. That is why we make “green” repairs that involve the installation of low-flow water efficient plumbing fixtures, energy-efficient appliances, programable thermostats, and LED lighting.

Many of you understand the complexity of undertaking home repairs. Just think about this in the context of your own home. It can be overwhelming to say the least. So, imagine this process applied to an entire group of homes spanning the continental United States and its territories.

Even though our real estate-owned (REO) inventory is a fraction of what it was in the years immediately after the financial crisis over a decade ago, repairing as many properties as we do presents challenges that require innovative solutions. That is why we have streamlined our repair process to ensure repairs are made quickly and efficiently.

To scale this approach over a wide geographic area, Fannie Mae relies on key partnerships with real estate agents, builders, and repair contractors to facilitate repairs and upgrades. We have created efficiencies through technology and process innovations by building repair management processes into third-party platforms.

As an example, our mobile repair scoping application connects real estate agents and general contractors for collaboration in a co-scoping bid process. For those of you who watch fix and flip shows, you may have witnessed co-scoping. This is the process that has a real estate agent and general contractor walk a property together to ensure the repair bid process captures a comprehensive list of needs for the property.

Another example of this innovation is how we utilize an integrated design board deployed through our technology and leveraged during this co-scoping process. This design board shows available color schemes, fixtures, and finishes to create standardized repair results across our REO portfolio regardless of property location. The real estate agent and general contractor even come together after repairs are finished to confirm the initial scope of work is complete and meets our standards.

We are seeing incredible results and benefits of this work. In March 2022, 95% of repaired properties in our REO portfolio were sold to owner-occupant buyers.

Fannie Mae’s REO repair strategy ensures that the nation’s housing supply is improved, it helps support homeownership, and it contributes to community stabilization.

We continue to build on our repair strategy and technology to help create affordable and sustainable homeownership opportunities and will do so for years to come.

This 1,940 square foot home in Maple Heights, OH, was rehabilitated through Fannie Mae’s REO repair strategy. Upgrades are evident throughout the home, including its bathroom and kitchen where new appliances were installed.

Pictures taken of the 1,940 square foot home in Maple Heights, OH rehabilitated through Fannie Mae’s REO repair strategy before the work was begun.

Pictures taken of the 1,940 square foot home in Maple Heights, OH rehabilitated through Fannie Mae’s REO repair strategy after the work was completed.

Located in Shaverton, PA., this 1,130 square foot property saw a dramatic rehabilitation thanks to Fannie Mae’s Real Estate Owned (REO) repair strategy.

Photos taken after the work on the 1,130 square foot property in Shaverton, PA, which underwent a rehabilitation thanks to Fannie Mae’s Real Estate Owned (REO) repair strategy, including upgrades like new flooring and new appliances in the kitchen and bathroom.

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Renters Losing Sleep While Searching for Homes

October 11, 2022 by Editor

According to a new Zillow report, finding and landing a rental is stressing Americans out nationwide. The typical monthly rent in the U.S. has soared to a record high of $2,031, and the latest Zillow survey reveals just how tired and burnt out Americans are as they search for new homes and apartments. Recent data revealed that two in five recent renters —or 40%— said they lost sleep during their home search, with many worrying about cost, communication, and competition.

Two in five recent renters said they lost sleep during their search

Not being able to find an affordable rental is the most common stressor, with 38% of renters noting it as one of the most stressful parts of their search, which coincides with rents jumping 24% in just the past two years. According to census data, the typical renter household brings in $3,800 each month, meaning they’d have to spend more than half — or 53%— of their income to rent the typical apartment or house.

In addition to stress caused by runaway prices, 26% of renters said keeping track of emails or messages from landlords they contacted was a concern. And 22% reported the same of having to compete against other renters.

Renters are making tradeoffs to land a new home in a high-stakes search environment. According to Zillow’s survey, 77% said they made compromises to afford their most recent rental, with the most common being settling for a place that didn’t have all of the features they wanted, such as new appliances, AC or a balcony. Just under a third of recent renters —or 30%— said they ended up renting a smaller home than they had planned.

“Rising rents are only adding to the pressure renters feel during what is already an emotional and challenging process,” said Zillow home trends expert Amanda Pendleton. “Renters are often staring down a deadline to leave their current rental, and with competition so intense, they need to make decisions quickly. This survey shows even if renters are making compromises to land an apartment, many are still suffering emotional and physical strain.”

Peak rental season is here, and many renters are just starting their search. Zillow’s survey found 76% of renters said they would have done at least one thing differently in their most recent rental search. While the rental market is expensive and competitive, there are steps renters can take to help relieve stress and get a full night’s sleep:

  • Understand what they can afford and establish a budget. 
    • Before browsing rentals and setting expectations, renters should start with a rent affordability calculator to figure out their ideal price range. They should set search parameters within that budget, and also use Zillow’s new move-in date filter to ensure they’re seeing apartments that are available when they need them to avoid paying double rent.
    • Renters should also do research on their market to better understand what they can expect to pay and if they should negotiate. Zillow has a Rental Market Trends tool showing typical rents, number of available units and market temperature down to the ZIP code. Renters can also compare rental costs in different cities side by side.
  • Stay organized. 
    • Zillow’s Renter Hub, a one-stop shop for renters, is now available on the Zillow app. Instead of users having to dig through their inbox and toggle to and from the Zillow app for updates on their rental search, Renter Hub now keeps messages with prospective landlords and all of the up-to-date details on renters’ current home organized in one place, right at their fingertips.
    • Zillow’s Renter Profile lets renters create a personal profile outlining their renter qualifications, such as employment, income and credit score, as well as their desired move-in date and lease duration. A profile allows them to introduce themselves to potential landlords and to offer a sense of what they’re looking for in a rental.
  • Know their rights. 
    • Zillow’s Local Legal Protections tool provides information about local laws that protect LBGTQ renters from housing discrimination. It also includes information on local laws that prevent housing discrimination based on the source of income used to pay the rent, such as housing vouchers.
  • Search smarter. 
    • To save time on in-person tours, renters can take advantage of virtual 3D Home tours and interactive floor plans on many Zillow rental listings to quickly narrow their options and avoid wasting time touring rentals that are not a good fit.
    • Using Zillow’s new multilocation search, renters can browse available rentals in up to five areas at once, a great way for them to see options in another location that better fit their budget or lifestyle.

To read the full release, including charts and methodology, click here.

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

HUD Unveils $40M Funding to Protect Families From Safety Hazards

October 11, 2022 by Editor

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) today announced the availability of $40 million through the Healthy Homes Production Grant Program to help transform communities by fixing older housing, preserving affordable housing, and improving communities and the health of children and families in these communities.

“Access to safe, stable, and affordable housing is a critical social determinant of health and a priority of this Department,” said Secretary Marcia L. Fudge. “These grants will help protect families and children from health and safety hazards and support community efforts to provide healthy and sustainable housing for their most vulnerable residents.”

The Healthy Homes Production Program (HHP) is part of HUD’s overall Healthy Homes Initiative; which enables communities to address multiple housing-related hazards in a comprehensive fashion, instead of one hazard at a time.

The HHP program helps children and other vulnerable residents reach their full potential by preventing injuries and diseases, lowering healthcare costs, and improving their overall quality of life.

The program builds upon HUD’s successful Lead Hazard Control programs to expand HUD’s efforts to address environmental health and safety hazards. Those receiving a Healthy Homes Production Award will be expected to accomplish the following objectives, among others:

  • Find and eliminate housing-related health and safety hazards in privately owned, low-income rental and/or owner-occupied housing, especially in units and/or buildings where families with children, older adults 62 years and older, or families with persons with disabilities live;
  • Conduct public education and outreach activities that raises awareness of housing-related health and safety hazards and that identifies individuals and families for grant services;
  • Develop a professional workforce that is trained in conducting healthy homes assessments;
  • Develop partnerships to assist in meeting program goals; and
  • Promote collaboration, data sharing, and targeting between health and housing departments.

Applications for the grant program funds are due Tuesday, October 18, 2022, by 11:59pm ET.

To read more information on the HHP, including full eligibility requirements, click here.

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Fannie Mae: Consumers Reporting Housing Market Volatility Concerns

October 11, 2022 by Editor

The Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) decreased 0.8 points in August to 62.0, the sixth consecutive monthly decline of the index, according to their latest report. Surveyed consumers continue to express pessimism about homebuying conditions, especially in the home-selling segment of the housing market. 

Despite the minute change in the index, four of the six major components which make up the HPSI experienced significant volatility resulting in the HPSI dropping 13.7 points year-over-year. 

On a monthly basis, consumers indicated via the survey that home-selling conditions have worsened over the last month dropping from 67% to 59% of respondents who believe now is a good time to sell. 

According to Fannie Mae, consumers also reported that homebuying conditions have improved since last month increasing from 17% to 22%, but on the future of home prices, consumers report mixed sentiments with the majority of consumers believing that mortgage rates will go up over the next year. 

“The share of consumers expecting home prices to go down over the next year increased substantially in August. Accompanying this, HPSI respondents reported a significant decrease in home-selling sentiment,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s SVP and Chief Economist. “We also observed a large decline in consumers reporting high home prices as the primary reason for it being a good time to sell a home, suggesting that expectations of slowing or declining home prices have begun to negatively affect selling sentiment.” 

“Conversely, lower home prices would obviously be welcome news for potential first-time homebuyers, who are likely feeling the combined affordability constraints of the high home price and high mortgage rate environment. In fact, the survey’s ‘ease of getting a mortgage’ component dropped to an all-time low among this typically younger demographic (i.e., 18- to 34-year-olds).” 

“With home prices expected to moderate over the forecast horizon and economic uncertainty heightened, both homebuyers and home-sellers may be incentivized to remain on the sidelines—homebuyers anticipating home price declines and potential home-sellers not keen to give up their lower, fixed mortgage rate—contributing to a further cooling in home sales through the end of the year,” Duncan concluded. 

Additional findings on the six major components of the HPSI include: 

  • Good/Bad Time to Buy: The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to buy a home increased from 17% to 22%, while the percentage who say it is a bad time to buy decreased from 76% to 73%. As a result, the net share of those who say it is a good time to buy increased 8 percentage points month-over-month. 
  • Good/Bad Time to Sell: The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to sell a home decreased from 67% to 59%, while the percentage who say it’s a bad time to sell increased from 27% to 35%. As a result, the net share of those who say it is a good time to sell decreased 16 percentage points month-over-month. 
  • Home Price Expectations: The percentage of respondents who say home prices will go up in the next 12 months decreased from 39% to 33%, while the percentage who say home prices will go down increased from 30% to 33%. The share who think home prices will stay the same increased from 26% to 28%. As a result, the net share of Americans who say home prices will go up decreased 9 percentage points month-over-month. 
  • Mortgage Rate Expectations: The percentage of respondents who say mortgage rates will go down in the next 12 months increased from 6% to 11%, while the percentage who expect mortgage rates to go up decreased from 67% to 61%. The share who think mortgage rates will stay the same increased from 21% to 25%. As a result, the net share of Americans who say mortgage rates will go down over the next 12 months increased 11 percentage points month-over-month. 
  • Job Loss Concern: The percentage of respondents who say they are not concerned about losing their job in the next 12 months increased from 78% to 79%, while the percentage who say they are concerned decreased from 22% to 21%. As a result, the net share of Americans who say they are not concerned about losing their job increased 2 percentage points month-over-month. 
  • Household Income: The percentage of respondents who say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago increased from 24% to 25%, while the percentage who say their household income is significantly lower increased from 13% to 15%. The percentage who say their household income is about the same decreased from 61% to 59%. As a result, the net share of those who say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago decreased 1 percentage point month-over-month. 

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Annual Home Price Growth Shifted from Deceleration to Decline in July

October 11, 2022 by Editor

The latest report from Black Knight, Inc, revealed yet another sign of the times as annual home price growth changed from a deceleration to an official decline in July 2022 as the median home price fell 0.77% from June 2022, the largest single-month decrease since January 2011. 

According to Black Knight Data and Analytics President Ben Graboske, July’s month-over-month decline is the first price pullback in nearly three years. 

“After 31 consecutive months of growth, home prices pulled back by 0.77% in July,” said Graboske. “Annual home price appreciation still came in at over 14%, but in a market characterized by as much volatility and rapid change as today’s, such backward-looking metrics can be misleading as they can mask more current, pressing realities.” 

“Case in point—this cooling has been indicated in our home price data for several months now, and at an increasing pace. In January, prices rose at 28 times their normal monthly rate before slowing to five times average in February as interest rates began to tick up. Even May was still about two times normal, before June growth came in 70% below the long-run average. And all the while, annual appreciation continued to appear historically strong, showing double-digit growth month after month. Without timely, granular data, market-moving trends don’t become apparent until they’re right in front of you—like a sudden shift to the largest single-month decline in home prices in more than a decade.  

“Similarly, while mortgage-holders’ tappable equity had grown 25% from last year to hit yet another record high in Q2, we noted that equity actually peaked in May and tracked the pullback that began in June before escalating in July.” 

“Tappable equity is now down 5% in the last two months, setting up Q3 to likely see the first quarterly decline in tappable equity since 2019. Some of the nation’s most equity-rich markets have seen significant pullbacks, most notably among key West Coast metros. From April through July, San Jose lost 20% of its tappable equity. Seattle followed, shedding 18% of tappable equity over that same three-month span. Likewise, San Diego (-14%), San Francisco (-14%) and Los Angeles (-10%) have all seen double-digit declines since April.  

“Keep in mind that of the roughly 275K borrowers who would fall underwater from a 5% price decline, more than 80% purchased their homes in the first six months of 2022 – right at what appears to have been the top of the market,” Graboske concluded. “With prices continuing to correct and our McDash HELOC data showing home equity lending at its highest level in 12 years, we will keep a very close eye on equity positions in the coming months.” 

Additional high-level findings from the Mortgage Monitor include: 

  • More than 85% of the 50 largest U.S. markets are at least marginally off their peaks through July, with home prices down by >1% in a third, and more than one in 10 seeing prices fall by 4% or more 
  • Tappable equity – the amount a homeowner can borrow against while keeping a 20% equity stake – hit its 10th consecutive record high in Q2 2022 at $11.5T but appears to have peaked in May of this year 
  • Escalating declines in June and July have total tappable equity down 5% over the past two months, suggesting a sizeable reduction is likely in Q3, which would mark the first quarterly decline in three years 
  • In some markets, equity pullbacks have quickly become fairly significant, with the five most equity-rich West Coast markets shedding 10-20% of previously available tappable equity from April through July 
  • The impact of home price declines is twice as pronounced on tappable equity levels; a 5% decline in home values nationally would equate to a 10% decline in tappable equity, and so on. 

Click here to see the 27-page report in its entirety. 

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

Summer Ends Amid Rising Bankruptcies

October 11, 2022 by Editor

Epiq, an Atlanta-based provider of intelligence to the legal services industry, has released its August 2022 bankruptcy filing statistics from its new Bankruptcy Analytics platform which found that filings increased by 10% since last year representing 35,276 filings of all types, up from the 30,848 seen in July, 32,175 filings seen in June, and 32,508 filings seen in May. 

According to Epiq, total filings also show a 15% increase month-over-month compared to the July 2021 total of 30,854 filings. 

Epiq also noted that for the first time in months, all chapters of bankruptcy registered a month-over-month increase. 

Chapter 11 filings increased 81% to 466 (from 257 in July), Chapter 13 increased 15% to 14,981 filings (from 12,992), Chapter 7 filings increased 13% to 19,884 filings (from 17,593). 

Commerical filings increased 6% as the 1,861 were up from the 1,753 seen last year. 

“New bankruptcy filings in August clearly show momentum in the market,” said Chris Kruse, SVP at Epiq Bankruptcy. “Chapter 13 new filings continue the recent trend of month-over-month growth, and for the first time since March, we also see increases in new Chapter 7 filings in August. We expect this trend to continue as the U.S. exits the summer and marches toward the fourth quarter.” 

From a commercial Chapter 11 perspective, filings continue to trend up. August’s Chapter 11 filings totaling 466 increased 81% from the 257 registered in July 2022. Small business filings, captured as subchapter V elections within Chapter 11, increased 41% to 140 in August 2022 from 99 in August 2021. Similarly, August’s commercial Chapter 11 filings were up 91% over the 212 filings in July 2022. The commercial filing total represented a 16% increase from the July 2022 commercial filing total of 1,607. Subchapter V elections within Chapter 11 increased 42% from the 85 filed in July 2022. 

“Financially distressed households and companies are experiencing expanding debt loads amid rising interest rates, inflation, and supply chain concerns,” said ABI Executive Director Amy Quackenboss. “Though still at historically low numbers, the increase in bankruptcy filings in August points to more families and businesses looking for a path to alleviate mounting financial challenges.”

Click here to view the source report in its entirety. 

Originally Appeared Here

Filed Under: COMMERCIAL, dsnews, NEWS & TRENDS

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